Your Current Situation
Applied to each path's base before the one-time event.
Default: 5 years (one strategic cycle).
Path A — Stay for Internal Promotion
Typical internal promotion: 5–12%. The raise on top of your current base.
Months you continue at current base before the promotion lands.
Path B — External Job-Hop
Typical external premium: 10–20%. Labeled BLS/research heuristic — use your actual offer. (BLS OEWS 2025 wage growth data; stylized employer mobility research)
Unvested RSUs, options, retention bonus you forfeit by leaving.
Months at reduced effectiveness in new role. We discount 25% of salary during ramp.
Annual cost of resetting tenure clock — lower PTO accrual, vesting restart, etc. Expressed as % of salary.
New role has meaningfully worse benefits (health, 401k match, etc.)
5-Year Comp Comparison
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Path A — Stay (5-yr cumulative)
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Path B — Job-Hop (5-yr cumulative)
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Break-even external premium
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Equity forfeiture drag
Year-by-Year Cumulative Comp
| Year | Path A: Stay (Annual) | Path A (Cumul.) | Path B: Hop (Annual) | Path B (Cumul.) | Running Δ |
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Continue Your Analysis
Export Results
Inbound: AL-135 raise_ask_record · Downstream: AL-97 Counter-Offer · AL-27 Job Search ROI